Going to post our first free baseball selection here. Tonight, the Cubs visit the Astros in Houston and we are interested in the total on this game. The total opened at 10, but has been bet down slightly to 9.5. Going to go with the over here. Like the chances that these two teams will combine for at least 10 runs.
Chicago Cubs-Houston Astros Over 9.5 -1.15
Sports Selections So Far 52-30-3(63.41%) + 22 Units
Monday, May 19, 2008
Handicapping Websites
Wow! After recently deciding to publish a site on the web to market my services, I have notice while checking out the competition, that most of these "handicapping" sites are just a ripoff. I have read reviews on the different cappers and their sites, and it seems that 85% of what I read was negative. Why go through the trouble of handicapping games if all you care about is marketing and B.S. to sell your picks? Hmmm..maybe that is the problem, some of these "handicappers" do not even bother to actually provide the service that they advertise, they just try to market their name or theme, and hope for the best as far as picking games or horses for their customers.
I have worked in a non-related industry in recent years. It is a service-based type of business in which you market your products and services to people and businesses, hoping to keep them as customers long term. Why go through the effort of getting customers, only to provide shoddy service, lose them and the income that they provide and have them leave unhappy and remorseful?
There are some sites out there that have a place for people to go in and post reviews. Why would you risk the chance of being labled a ripoff "service"?
Why not just provide the best possible service that you can at an affordable price and build a large clientele? I would rather have 200 happy customers at a low price than 20 unhappy customers at a ridiculous price who will just leave anyway and possibly spread the word about you online and by word of mouth.
All you can do is to try and put your best effort forth when handicapping. The customer should realize that the idea is to win money over the long run and not what happened yesterday or last week. I think that a handicapping service could have a long and profitable life in business if they just followed that theory instead of just trying to "get their money" and move on to the next "live one".
My site-www.vegasturfandsports.com, is still under construction, I will be concentrating on that over the coming weeks, but will still try to post a free selection here once in awhile.
I have worked in a non-related industry in recent years. It is a service-based type of business in which you market your products and services to people and businesses, hoping to keep them as customers long term. Why go through the effort of getting customers, only to provide shoddy service, lose them and the income that they provide and have them leave unhappy and remorseful?
There are some sites out there that have a place for people to go in and post reviews. Why would you risk the chance of being labled a ripoff "service"?
Why not just provide the best possible service that you can at an affordable price and build a large clientele? I would rather have 200 happy customers at a low price than 20 unhappy customers at a ridiculous price who will just leave anyway and possibly spread the word about you online and by word of mouth.
All you can do is to try and put your best effort forth when handicapping. The customer should realize that the idea is to win money over the long run and not what happened yesterday or last week. I think that a handicapping service could have a long and profitable life in business if they just followed that theory instead of just trying to "get their money" and move on to the next "live one".
My site-www.vegasturfandsports.com, is still under construction, I will be concentrating on that over the coming weeks, but will still try to post a free selection here once in awhile.
Thursday, May 15, 2008
Preakness Stakes Saturday
This Saturday, The Preakness Stakes will be run with Big Brown as the heavy favorite. Nobody here is going to go against him after watching the dominating performance that he put in at The Kentucky Derby.
The only wagering opportunity that may offer some value, is the exotics. There are some decent payoff potentials with putting Big Brown on top in exactas, trifectas and superfectas. If you think that somehow he might get beat, key him in the first and second spot. Gayego will probably be second choice, and he should be included in exotics. Other contenders are Kentucky Bear and Hey Byrn. Another longshot with an outside chance to finish in the top 4 is Racecar Rhapsody.
Enjoy the race. I will just root for Big Brown to win for what is probably our best shot at a Triple Crown winner in some time. Horse racing needs a hero, a superhorse to bring some much needed positive attention to the sport.
The only wagering opportunity that may offer some value, is the exotics. There are some decent payoff potentials with putting Big Brown on top in exactas, trifectas and superfectas. If you think that somehow he might get beat, key him in the first and second spot. Gayego will probably be second choice, and he should be included in exotics. Other contenders are Kentucky Bear and Hey Byrn. Another longshot with an outside chance to finish in the top 4 is Racecar Rhapsody.
Enjoy the race. I will just root for Big Brown to win for what is probably our best shot at a Triple Crown winner in some time. Horse racing needs a hero, a superhorse to bring some much needed positive attention to the sport.
Handicapping Totals In The NBA Playoffs
Since the beginning of 2008, we have a record of 52-30-3 with the free selections here at Vegas Turf And Sports, mostly picking totals on NBA games. The other night, we had the Pistons game under 186.5 and that game was played almost exactly the way we figured it would be with the Pistons hammering the Magic on defense and going on to take the series moving them into the Eastern Conference Finals. Final total on that game was 177, right where we had it.
We have noticed that when looking at some of these playoff matchups, there are some very different factors that go into trying to figure where the total on a game should be. For example, last night's games were Cleveland at Boston, and Utah at the Lakers. My number on the Boston game was in the low 170's with a total listed at 176.5 which may normally be a play on the under. The way the Celtics have played lately, we just could not pull the trigger on under in that game. Of course, they won a hard-fought victory last night, but the game went over the total. Looking at boxscores the next morning, it is easy to see what one of the major factors is during the playoffs and that is the number of free throws that are taken. Fouls seem to be a major factor much more so during the playoffs. Fouls stop the clock and give a team the opportunity to score points at the same time, which is going to affect the total on a game, for sure.
In the second game last night, the Jazz and the Lakers shot 70 free throws!! They made 58 of the 70 and the game only went over by a few points. Our number on that game was right around 200, but I made a note that these two teams had been at the line too many times during this series to warrant a play on the under. Hard to figure beforehand how the game will be called though, in other words, how much physical play will the referees allow or not allow?
The intensity of the playoffs brings more fouls, allowing for points scored with the clock stopped and this must be considered one of your handicapping factors when handicapping totals in the NBA playoffs.
We have noticed that when looking at some of these playoff matchups, there are some very different factors that go into trying to figure where the total on a game should be. For example, last night's games were Cleveland at Boston, and Utah at the Lakers. My number on the Boston game was in the low 170's with a total listed at 176.5 which may normally be a play on the under. The way the Celtics have played lately, we just could not pull the trigger on under in that game. Of course, they won a hard-fought victory last night, but the game went over the total. Looking at boxscores the next morning, it is easy to see what one of the major factors is during the playoffs and that is the number of free throws that are taken. Fouls seem to be a major factor much more so during the playoffs. Fouls stop the clock and give a team the opportunity to score points at the same time, which is going to affect the total on a game, for sure.
In the second game last night, the Jazz and the Lakers shot 70 free throws!! They made 58 of the 70 and the game only went over by a few points. Our number on that game was right around 200, but I made a note that these two teams had been at the line too many times during this series to warrant a play on the under. Hard to figure beforehand how the game will be called though, in other words, how much physical play will the referees allow or not allow?
The intensity of the playoffs brings more fouls, allowing for points scored with the clock stopped and this must be considered one of your handicapping factors when handicapping totals in the NBA playoffs.
Tuesday, May 13, 2008
NBA Playoffs Tuesday Magic-Pistons
We pulled out the win last night with the Celtics-Cavaliers game. The Celtics played excellent defense which we expected but so did the Cavaliers. The Celtics continue to have a problem with winning on the road as they dropped this game last night 88-77. The Celts were held to a 12-point fourth quarter and shot 38.6% from the field. We cannot see the Celtics competing for the Championship if they continue to lose games on the road because if you lose one game at home, you take yourself right out of the series when you cannot win in the other team's building.
Tonight, the Pistons will try to end their series with the Orlando Magic. The Pistons probably see this as a must win game, and will pull out their best defense to close it out. They have a chance to finish off the Magic early, get some extra rest, and provide Chauncy Billips with some extra time to come back from his injury before the Eastern Finals get under way. The total is at 186.5 at the time of this writing. Reccomendation: Under
Magic-Pistons Under 186.5
Record So Far: 51-30-3 Or 62.96%
Tonight, the Pistons will try to end their series with the Orlando Magic. The Pistons probably see this as a must win game, and will pull out their best defense to close it out. They have a chance to finish off the Magic early, get some extra rest, and provide Chauncy Billips with some extra time to come back from his injury before the Eastern Finals get under way. The total is at 186.5 at the time of this writing. Reccomendation: Under
Magic-Pistons Under 186.5
Record So Far: 51-30-3 Or 62.96%
Monday, May 12, 2008
Monday May 12th Celtics-Cavaliers
Tonight, it's game four between these two in Cleveland. Sunday's game saw the Cavaliers come out on fire shooting the lights out and going up 31-13 at the end of the first quarter. For the game, the Cavs shot 53.6% from the floor including 10 of 19 from the 3 point line. The pace of the game was slow, as expected, the only reason for the total ending up at 192 was the Cavs shooting and 24 free-throws made to boot.
Tonight, we look for the Celtics to come out strong on defense early. They have to take the crowd out of it early and keep the Cavaliers from opening up a big lead like in game three. They have promised in the media that they will win this game and show that they can win on the road in the Playoffs. Reccomendation: Under
Celtics-Cavaliers Under 182
Record So Far: 50-30-3 Or 62.5%
Tonight, we look for the Celtics to come out strong on defense early. They have to take the crowd out of it early and keep the Cavaliers from opening up a big lead like in game three. They have promised in the media that they will win this game and show that they can win on the road in the Playoffs. Reccomendation: Under
Celtics-Cavaliers Under 182
Record So Far: 50-30-3 Or 62.5%
Saturday, May 10, 2008
NBA Playoffs Saturday May 10th
Tonight we are going to go with the under in the Detroit-Orlando game. I look for the Pistons to bounce back tonight and flex some defensive muscle, which is what they need to come out with a win. Tough to win on the road, especially in the Playoffs, and I think they know that they will have to take the crowd out of it early and force the Magic to play at a slower, more Detroit-like pace. Chauncy Billips is expected to play for the Pistons tonight. We are starting to look at Major League Baseball totals and we will be getting going on that as the NBA season winds down.
Pistons-Magic Under 187.5
Record So Far: 49-30-3 Or 62.02%
Pistons-Magic Under 187.5
Record So Far: 49-30-3 Or 62.02%
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