Yesterday's freebie came through going wire to wire and paying $6.80, we'll take it. This meet so far has been a tough one to say the least. I think that trainers are a huge key at Del Mar. You have to be in tune with their moves and intention in specific races.
Today, we will go with a horse in the third race named Tribal Mischief. Let's make it two in a row!
Go to www.vegasturfandsports.com and check out the member packages. There is something for everyone there. If you do not see what you want, email me at vegasturfandsports@gmail.com and let me know what I can do for you.
Thanks for reading.
Thursday, July 31, 2008
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Del Mar Wednesday July 30th Free Selection
Today's second race is a maiden claiming event and we have one going in here. Our free selection today is Brite Ruler, number 2. This horse should get an easy lead today and be able to go gate to wire. He is listed at 5-2 on the morning line and hopefully the morning line favorite Sunshine In will get overbet and our horse will go off 3-1 or better. We like Joel Rosario taking the call here.
Visit our website at www.vegasturfandsports.com for all of our selections, articles, stats, live sports odds and lines. The NFL season is just around the corner- purchase one of our memberships and be ready to attack the bookies this year! Will will also be offering an NFL/NBA combo package in October. Stay tuned.
Thanks for reading.
Visit our website at www.vegasturfandsports.com for all of our selections, articles, stats, live sports odds and lines. The NFL season is just around the corner- purchase one of our memberships and be ready to attack the bookies this year! Will will also be offering an NFL/NBA combo package in October. Stay tuned.
Thanks for reading.
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Turf Handicapping Methods
Been doing some research lately with horse handicapping methods. I have found that in turf races, with their different pace scenarios and race riding strategies, the approach should be somewhat different than in dirt or synthetic races.
On dirt or synthetic, especially in sprints, horses are pushed from start to finish and gradually the whole field will begin to slow down the longer the race progresses. The winner is usually the horse that slows down at a lesser rate than the others.
On the turf, jockeys are looking to position themselves early to be in place for the all out run from the top of the stretch to the wire. The early pace in turf racing is usually very slow and late speed is what will win. What we should look for are the horses that finish the last portion of the race in under 24 seconds per quarter mile at today's class level or higher. So, in one mile races on the grass, the final quarter should be run in 24 seconds and under. In one mile and one sixteenth races, it should be run in under 30 seconds and in one mile and one eighth races, it should be run in under 36 seconds.
The method to use to find out a horse's final fraction is to note the time at the pace call, usually the three-quarter mark, subtract that from the final time and also subtract one fifth of a second for each length gained or add one fifth of a second for each length lost in the final fraction.
The other major factor to consider in turf races is class. "Class on the grass" still holds true. Classier animals will just outfinish the competition. Horses dropping in class or staying at the same level who have performed well recently on the grass and who can finish fastest will win more than their share of races.
Horses with class advantages that have been running longer than today's race and are proven at today's distance are good bets also. This is due to the stamina building that results from the longer distances. They will still have that closing kick in them and should finish well enough to win in most cases. There is nothing stronger than stamina and determination along with the class that goes with it when looking for a winner on the turf.
On dirt or synthetic, especially in sprints, horses are pushed from start to finish and gradually the whole field will begin to slow down the longer the race progresses. The winner is usually the horse that slows down at a lesser rate than the others.
On the turf, jockeys are looking to position themselves early to be in place for the all out run from the top of the stretch to the wire. The early pace in turf racing is usually very slow and late speed is what will win. What we should look for are the horses that finish the last portion of the race in under 24 seconds per quarter mile at today's class level or higher. So, in one mile races on the grass, the final quarter should be run in 24 seconds and under. In one mile and one sixteenth races, it should be run in under 30 seconds and in one mile and one eighth races, it should be run in under 36 seconds.
The method to use to find out a horse's final fraction is to note the time at the pace call, usually the three-quarter mark, subtract that from the final time and also subtract one fifth of a second for each length gained or add one fifth of a second for each length lost in the final fraction.
The other major factor to consider in turf races is class. "Class on the grass" still holds true. Classier animals will just outfinish the competition. Horses dropping in class or staying at the same level who have performed well recently on the grass and who can finish fastest will win more than their share of races.
Horses with class advantages that have been running longer than today's race and are proven at today's distance are good bets also. This is due to the stamina building that results from the longer distances. They will still have that closing kick in them and should finish well enough to win in most cases. There is nothing stronger than stamina and determination along with the class that goes with it when looking for a winner on the turf.
Saturday, July 26, 2008
Del Mar Saturday Free Selection
Today we will release one of our Del Mar plays as a free selection here. In the 2nd race, we are going with the number 2 horse, Dee Rain. He is dropping back down to the level of his last win and is working sharply for his return having last raced on June 8th. Martin Pedroza will ride and we expect a big effort here at around 10 to 1 odds.
For information about all of our Del Mar selections and sports selections including the upcoming NFL season, go to: http://www.vegasturfandsports.com/
For information about all of our Del Mar selections and sports selections including the upcoming NFL season, go to: http://www.vegasturfandsports.com/
Thursday, July 24, 2008
Free Selection From Vegas Turf And Sports
Today's free selection is a baseball total again. The Phillies and Mets square off in an early Thursday game with Moyer and Perez pitching. The total is at 9.5 under -1.30 and we are jumping on the under before it moves to 9 as it has in some places already.
We have two horses going today at Del Mar for our members at http://www.vegasturfandsports.com/. We have had a few nice winners over at the seaside oval since the meet started last Wednesday, and are showing a slight profit with flat bets. Seems that the number one handicapping factor down there is trainer angles and the longer the meet goes, the better we will get at uncovering nice winners at juicy prices.
We have two horses going today at Del Mar for our members at http://www.vegasturfandsports.com/. We have had a few nice winners over at the seaside oval since the meet started last Wednesday, and are showing a slight profit with flat bets. Seems that the number one handicapping factor down there is trainer angles and the longer the meet goes, the better we will get at uncovering nice winners at juicy prices.
Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Free Selection For Tuesday July 22nd
Today we are releasing one of our baseball plays here as our free selection. We are going with the Twins-Yankees game over 9.5. The line is -1.05. Take the over.
Visit www.vegasturfandsports.com for all of our available handicapping packages. We have several very affordable plans and we are gearing up for the NFL Exhibition season. We have also started the Del Mar meet very strong with three winners the first week out of 7 selections with an average mutuel of $11.80.
Twins-Yankees Over 9.5 minus 1.105
Visit www.vegasturfandsports.com for all of our available handicapping packages. We have several very affordable plans and we are gearing up for the NFL Exhibition season. We have also started the Del Mar meet very strong with three winners the first week out of 7 selections with an average mutuel of $11.80.
Twins-Yankees Over 9.5 minus 1.105
Monday, July 21, 2008
Del Mar Free Selection For Monday July 21st
Today we are taking a longshot in the fourth race. This is a maiden event at one mile on the turf and a wide open affair. Looking for a price with a horse named Trufflesfromheaven, trained by Mike Puype and ridden by Brice Blanc.
These types of races regularly produce nice payoffs and "Truffles" has a nice shot to win this one.
These types of races regularly produce nice payoffs and "Truffles" has a nice shot to win this one.
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